במערכת הביטחון מעריכים כי ח'מינאי הורה להאיץ את תוכנית הגרעין של איראן, וכי נפילת משטרו של אסד נותנת משנה תוקף להוראה הזו. ההנהגה האיראנית רואה בייצור נשק גרעיני מהלך הכרחי כדי לשמור על שרידות המשטר נוכח מצבו הקשה של ציר ההתנגדות

יוני בן מנחם | 9 בדצמבר 2024 | חדשות | 3 דק׳

הערכה בישראל: נפילת משטר אסד תאיץ את המרוץ של איראן לפצצה גרעינית

נפילת משטרו של נשיא סוריה בשאר אסד הינה מכה קשה למשטר האיראני, שאיבד פלטפורמה צבאית חשובה לתקוף ממנה את ישראל, ושדרכה הוא העביר באופן אינטנסיבי משלוחי נשק מתקדם לחיזבאללה בלבנון, וכך בנה את מפלצת הטרור שאיימה על ישראל מאז תום מלחמת לבנון השנייה בשנת 2006. זוהי ההערכה במערכת הביטחון.

איראן איבדה את טבעת ההגנה שהייתה אמורה להגן על אתרי הגרעין שלה מפני תקיפה ישראלית או אמריקנית באמצעות חיזבאללה בלבנון והמיליציות השיעיות בסוריה. היא לא תוכל יותר להעביר משלוחי נשק מתקדם דרך שטח סוריה לחיזבאללה בלבנון.

זאת ועוד, מחכה לה צרה גדולה נוספת: על פי הערכה במערכת הביטחון, נשיא ארה"ב הנבחר דונלד טראמפ יטיל עליה סנקציות משתקות מיד עם כניסתו לבית הלבן ב-20 בינואר. "ברגע שהצרות באות, הן באות בצרורות, כולן בבת אחת", אומר גורם ביטחוני בכיר.

רוצה לקרוא עוד?

להמשך קריאה הירשמו או התחברו

המנהיג העליון של איראן עלי ח'מינאי, 5 ביולי 2024

המנהיג העליון של איראן עלי ח'מינאי, 5 ביולי 2024 | צילום: Majid Saeedi/Getty Images

הודעת דובר צה"ל בערבית

לאחר שיגור הרקטה הבוקר לעבר ישראל: צה״ל קורא לתושבי בית חאנון ואזורים נוספים בצפון הרצועה להתפנות

דורון פסקין

נשיא ארה''ב דונלד טראמפ, 28 במרץ 2025

"יום השחרור" שהכריז טראמפ, והמשמעויות האפשריות לכלכלה העולמית

דורון פסקין

הבניין שהופצץ הלילה בתקיפה הישראלית

ישראל תקפה הלילה בדאחיה בביירות

צוות מגזין אפוק

אלוף אלי שרביט, 19 בינואר 2024

ראש הממשלה הודיע לאלוף שרביט כי החליט לחזור בו ממינויו לתפקיד ראש השב"כ

צוות מגזין אפוק

כוחות צבא מצריים בסיני, בצד המצרי של מעבר רפיח, 9 בספטמבר 2024

ישראל דורשת את פירוק התשתיות הצבאיות של מצרים בסיני המפרות את הסכם השלום

יוני בן מנחם

כלי נשק שנמצאו אצל חברי החוליה לאחר מעצרם

סוכלה חוליית טרור שפעלה בהכוונת חמאס מטורקיה

קרן זריהן

הירשמו לניוזלטר שלנו וקבלו תוכן חדש למייל מדי חודש

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