גורמים ביטחוניים אומרים כי לחיזבאללה יש עדיין ארסנל נשק שלא הושמד, והוא ימשיך לתקוף מטרות בתוך ישראל, אך נראה כי את ההחלטות מקבלים מפקדי שטח ולא מפקדה מרכזית של הארגון. פרשנים בלבנון מעריכים כי ייקח זמן רב לשקם את הארגון, והוא יזדקק לעזרתה של איראן

יוני בן מנחם | 30 בספטמבר 2024 | חדשות | 3 דק׳

מה יהיה עתידו של ארגון חיזבאללה בלבנון אחרי חיסול נסראללה?

ארגון חיזבאללה בלבנון היה בנוי על הנהגה מרכזית חזקה בראשותו של המזכ"ל חסן נסראללה, שהיה דמות כריזמטית מאוד. יחד עם בן דודו האשם צפי א-דין, ראש המועצה המבצעת של חיזבאללה, עיצבו והכווינו השניים את מדיניות הפנים והחוץ של הארגון.

חיסולם של נסראללה וצמרת הזרוע הצבאית של חיזבאללה יוצר ואקום ענק בהנהגת הארגון. מדיניות החיסולים הממוקדים הנמשכת מצד ישראל מכניסה את חיזבאללה ואיראן לבעיה קשה מאוד בכל הנוגע לשיקום יכולות הארגון שנפגעו במלחמה.

פרשנים בלבנון אומרים כי חיסול נסראללה יצר סדק גדול מבחינה צבאית וביטחונית בחיזבאללה, ופגע במורל של לוחמיו ובכל מי שתומך בציר ההתנגדות. ישראל ככל הנראה לא סיימה את הנחתת המכות הצבאיות על חיזבאללה, ובארגון מעריכים כי היא מתכוונת לפלוש קרקעית לדרום לבנון. לדברי אותם פרשנים, בשורות הארגון ובלבנון עצמה שואלים מה יהיה גורלו של הארגון לאור המכות הקשות שחטף מישראל, ומי יירש את נסראללה.

רוצה לקרוא עוד?

להמשך קריאה הירשמו או התחברו

אנשי חיזבאללה, 16 בפברואר 2024

אנשי חיזבאללה, 16 בפברואר 2024 | צילום: MAHMOUD ZAYYAT/AFP via Getty Images

הודעת דובר צה"ל בערבית

לאחר שיגור הרקטה הבוקר לעבר ישראל: צה״ל קורא לתושבי בית חאנון ואזורים נוספים בצפון הרצועה להתפנות

דורון פסקין

נשיא ארה''ב דונלד טראמפ, 28 במרץ 2025

"יום השחרור" שהכריז טראמפ, והמשמעויות האפשריות לכלכלה העולמית

דורון פסקין

הבניין שהופצץ הלילה בתקיפה הישראלית

ישראל תקפה הלילה בדאחיה בביירות

צוות מגזין אפוק

אלוף אלי שרביט, 19 בינואר 2024

ראש הממשלה הודיע לאלוף שרביט כי החליט לחזור בו ממינויו לתפקיד ראש השב"כ

צוות מגזין אפוק

כוחות צבא מצריים בסיני, בצד המצרי של מעבר רפיח, 9 בספטמבר 2024

ישראל דורשת את פירוק התשתיות הצבאיות של מצרים בסיני המפרות את הסכם השלום

יוני בן מנחם

כלי נשק שנמצאו אצל חברי החוליה לאחר מעצרם

סוכלה חוליית טרור שפעלה בהכוונת חמאס מטורקיה

קרן זריהן

הירשמו לניוזלטר שלנו וקבלו תוכן חדש למייל מדי חודש

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