מרבית ההערכות גורסות כי אם רוסיה תרצה לממש את האיום להשתמש בנשק גרעיני נגד אוקראינה, היא…

צוות אפוק | 2 באוקטובר 2022 | חדשות | 1 דק׳

מה יקרה ברגע שפוטין יחליט שהוא רוצה להשתמש בנשק גרעיני טקטי?

מרבית ההערכות גורסות כי אם רוסיה תרצה לממש את האיום להשתמש בנשק גרעיני נגד אוקראינה, היא תבחר להשתמש בנשק גרעיני טקטי (שנזקיו מוגבלים) המשוגר באמצעות טיל בליסטי לטווח קצר, כמו איסקנדר.

פאבל פודוויג, חוקר בכיר ב"מכון לחקר פירוק מנשק של האו"ם" (UNIDI), הנחשב מומחה ליכולות הגרעין של רוסיה, הכין ב-2017 דוח הממפה, בין היתר, 46 אתרי אחסון נשק גרעיני ברחבי רוסיה. לדבריו, האתרים מנוטרים כל הזמן על ידי לווייני מעקב צבאיים של ארה"ב ומדינות אחרות. גם לוויינים מסחריים יכולים לצפות בהם בקביעות.

פודוויג טוען שרוסיה התקינה ראשי נפץ גרעיניים אסטרטגיים (שתפקידם לגרום להשמדה מוחלטת של האויב) על מפציצים וצוללות. אולם הנשק הגרעיני הלא אסטרטגי (הטקטי) מאוחסן במתקנים שמיפה ברחבי רוסיה ואינו מותקן על גבי משגרי איסקנדר ניידים עד שאין צורך בכך.

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בתמונה: משגר איסקנדר | צילום: KIRILL KUDRYAVTSEV/AFP via Getty Images

בתמונה: משגר איסקנדר | צילום: KIRILL KUDRYAVTSEV/AFP via Getty Images

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