כשהסיוע תלוי ברפורמות, והרפורמות מאיימות על חיזבאללה – לבנון נלכדת במאבק בין הישרדות כלכלית למאבק פוליטי. מה צפוי לקרות בהמשך?

איל לוינטר | 7 באפריל 2025 | גיאו-פוליטיקה | 3 דק׳

לבנון בלחץ בין-לאומי: סיוע בתמורה לפירוק חיזבאללה? | פרשנות

רקע

בלבנון מתנהלים בימים אלה שלושה תהליכים מרכזיים:

1. ניסיון להשיג סיוע כלכלי – ממשלת לבנון מנסה לחלץ את המדינה מהמשבר הכלכלי החמור הפוקד אותה מאז 2019, הנובע מעשורים של שחיתות, ניהול כושל, חוב חיצוני כבד והיעדר רפורמות מבניות משמעותיות.

בתחילת 2020 הודיעה לבנון על חדלות פירעון בשל חוב חיצוני של כ-31 מיליארד דולר, ומאז היא מנסה להגיע להסכמות עם קרן המטבע הבין-לאומית – הגורם המרכזי שיכול לספק לה חבל הצלה. בשנת 2022 הושגה טיוטת הסכם עם הקרן בהיקף של כ-3 מיליארד דולר, אך מכיוון שלבנון לא יישמה את הרפורמות שנדרשו ממנה – בראשן רה-ארגון של המערכת הבנקאית – ההסכם לא נכנס לתוקף.

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איל לוינטר

הירשמו לניוזלטר שלנו וקבלו תוכן חדש למייל מדי חודש

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