קרב הירושה בצמרת חמאס, ההערכות בעולם הערבי על עתיד הארגון, והאזהרה של גורמי ביטחון בישראל

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מי שמוביל כרגע את חמאס ברצועת עזה ומחזיק בחטופים הישראלים הינו מוחמד סינוואר, אחיו של יחיא סינוואר, שהיה מח"ט רפיח ויזם את חטיפת חייל צה"ל גלעד שליט בשנת 2006. יחד עמו נמצאים עוד שני מפקדים בכירים בזרוע הצבאית של חמאס: עז א-דין אל-חדאד, מפקד חטיבת עזה בזרוע הצבאית, ומוחמד שבאנה, מפקד חטיבת רפיח.

ההערכות ברצועת עזה ובמערכת הביטחון הישראלית מדברות על כך שמרכז הכובד של מערכת קבלת ההחלטות יעבור מרצועת עזה להנהגת חמאס בחו"ל. שם ייבחר מנהיג חדש לחמאס שיחליף את סינוואר, שנבחר לפני כשלושה חודשים לתפקיד יו"ר הלשכה המדינית של התנועה במקום אסמעיל הנייה, שחוסל על ידי ישראל בטהראן.

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