גורמים בכירים בירושלים אומרים כי קטאר ומצרים אינן מפעילות לחץ על חמאס להתפשר, אבל נשיא ארה"ב נערך בכל זאת להניח על השולחן את "הצעת ההזדמנות האחרונה". לדבריהם, גם אם הייתה הסכמה על נסיגה מ"ציר פילדלפי", נותרו עדיין המון בעיות אחרות שטרם נפתרו

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התיאבון של חמאס גדל במסגרת שיטת הסלאמי שמפעיל יחיא סינוואר, נוכח הלחץ הפנימי בתוך ישראל והלחץ הבין-לאומי הגוברים על ראש הממשלה בנימין נתניהו ללכת לעסקה בכל מחיר.

ממשל ביידן מבין היטב את שיטת המשא ומתן של סינוואר. נשיא ארה"ב ג'ו ביידן מתלבט מה לעשות. על פי גורמים מדיניים, הוא מתוסכל מהמצב שנוצר ומאי יכולתו להביא להפסקת המלחמה, בעוד הבחירות לנשיאות הולכות ומתקרבות. הוא חושש מכשלון המשא ומתן, שיפגע בסיכוייה של סגניתו קמלה האריס בבחירות.

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