הדבר יכול להיעשות רק בדרך צבאית ובעיתוי שמתאים לישראל

יוני בן מנחם | 24 במרץ 2024 | גיאו-פוליטיקה | 2 דק׳

פרשנות: נסראללה משוכנע שהגיע להישגים אסטרטגיים – ישראל תצטרך לגרום לו לחשוב על זה שוב

גורמים בלבנון מציינים כי בשבוע האחרון ניכרת ירידה בעוצמת ההתכתשות הצבאית בין חיזבאללה לצה"ל בגבול הצפון. הדבר מעיד להערכתם על חוסר רצון של שני הצדדים, וגם של איראן, להסלים את המצב עד לעימות צבאי כולל, שעלול להביא למלחמה אזורית.

אולם, בחלוף חמישה חודשים מפרוץ המלחמה, נוצרו בשטח עובדות חדשות. חיזבאללה מפיק לקחים מהמלחמה ומקבע משוואות חדשות. חסן נסראללה טוען כי לארגונו יש הישגים אסטרטגיים, וכי לראשונה הצליח חיזבאללה לגרש כמאה אלף אזרחים ישראלים מבתיהם בגבול הצפון מתחילת המלחמה ועד היום, וכפה על ישראל ליצור רצועת ביטחון בתוך השטח הריבוני שלה, מבלי שכוחות "רדוואן" פלשו אליה.

חיזבאללה פתח במלחמה נגד ישראל במסגרת האסטרטגיה החדשה של איראן של "איחוד הזירות", ולראשונה החל ליישם אותה. נסראללה מתפאר בכך שהפך את דרום לבנון לחזית לחימה שתומכת ברצועת עזה ללא הגבלת זמן, עד שתושג הפסקת אש בעזה. ישראל לא הצליחה מתחילת המלחמה לנתק את הלינקג' שיצר נסראללה בין דרום לבנון לרצועת עזה.

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להמשך קריאה הירשמו או התחברו

צילום: JALAA MAREY/AFP via Getty Images

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איל לוינטר

הירשמו לניוזלטר שלנו וקבלו תוכן חדש למייל מדי חודש

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