יוזמה של קהילת המודיעין בארה"ב הביאה להקמת קבוצה של עתידנים מסוג חדש – עקרות בית ומהנדסים, אמנים וסופרים, עורכי דין וסטודנטים – המצליחים להעריך בדיוק מרשים את ההסתברות לאירועי טרור, לחילופי שלטון ולשינויים גיאופוליטיים. עקבנו אחריהם מאז 2016. זה סיפורם

דינה גורדון | 10 באפריל 2022 | חברה והיסטוריה | 12 דק׳

עתידני-העל: הצַפָּר, הסופר ועקרת הבית המצליחים לחזות אירועים טוב יותר מאנליסטים של שירותי הביון

דן מיילנד היה בסך הכול מחבר ספרי בילוש כאשר קיבל ב-2014 טלפון המזמין אותו להצטרף לקבוצת "עתידני-על" – אנשים המצליחים לחזות טוב יותר מאנליסטים מקצועיים אירועים עתידיים, שאוגדו לקבוצה שעבדה באותה תקופה עם קהילת המודיעין בארה"ב. להפתעתו הוא הצליח לחזות אירועים טוב יותר מהאנליסט הממוצע והתקבל לקבוצה.

בתחילת שנות ה-2000 קהילת המודיעין האמריקנית עברה טלטלה עזה. הכישלון בחיזוי פיגועי ה-11 בספטמבר וההמלצה לפלוש לעיראק עקב הימצאותו של נשק להשמדה המונית (דבר שהתברר בדיעבד כשגוי), גרמו לקהילת המודיעין לפקפק ביכולות החיזוי של 20 אלף האנליסטים שלה, ולתהות האם שימוש בחוכמת ההמונים יוכל לעזור.

רוצה לקרוא עוד?

להמשך קריאה הירשמו או התחברו

תמונה: Shutterstock

תמונה: Shutterstock

אילוסטרציה: Shutterstock

לספר את האמת באופן שקרי – המניפולציה שמעצבת את המציאות שלנו

איל לוינטר

איור אילוסטרציה: מגזין אפוק

"לטיקטוק ולדיפסיק יש היכולת ליצור נרטיב משלהם. וכמו שידוע, מי ששולט בנרטיב – שולט בעולם"

יאן יקיאלק

איור אילוסטרציה: מגזין אפוק

דוקטרינת "המשוגע"

איל לוינטר

אילוסטרציה

מעבר למילים: הכוחות החבויים של אוטיסטים לא ורבליים

מאיה מזרחי

יותם נקר

לצאת למלחמה, לפגוש במוות ולחזור לחיים

דינה גורדון

אילוסטרציה: מגזין אפוק, תמונות: Shutterstock, www.minghui.org

תיקים באפילה: האדם הראשון שעבר קצירת איברים בכפייה ושרד כדי לספר על כך

יאן יקיאלק

הירשמו לניוזלטר שלנו וקבלו תוכן חדש למייל מדי חודש

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