עם חזרתו לבית הלבן, הנשיא לשעבר דונלד טראמפ צפוי לאכוף מחדש את מדיניות הסנקציות המקסימלית על איראן. כיצד הוגי האסטרטגיה מדמיינים שהמהלך יוביל לקריסת המשטר בטהראן – ומה הסיכוי שהוא יצליח?

איל לוינטר | 7 בינואר 2025 | מחשבות | 5 דק׳

כיצד אמור להתמוטט המשטר האיראני? | פרשנות

בקרב מחוקקים אמריקנים, רפובליקנים ודמוקרטים, שוררת אחדות דעים כי הנשיא הנבחר, דונלד טראמפ, צפוי לשוב ולאמץ את מדיניות "הלחץ המקסימלי" על איראן עם כניסתו לתפקיד. המדיניות, המתמקדת באכיפת סנקציות כלכליות חמורות, הובלה על ידו בקדנציה הראשונה ונועדה לפגוע במוקדי הכוח הכלכליים של המשטר האיראני.

"נחזור למדיניות של לחץ מקסימלי", אמר הסנאטור טד קרוז באירוע שנערך בסנאט בדצמבר. "ננתק את המשטר האכזרי ממשאבים בכל דרך אפשרית [...] אני כבר זמן רב דוגל בשינוי משטר באיראן בצורה חד משמעית. האייתוללה ייפול, המולות ייפלו, ונראה בחירות חופשיות ודמוקרטיות באיראן. שינוי מגיע והוא קרוב מאוד".

אך כיצד בדיוק מדיניות "הלחץ המקסימלי" יכולה להביא להפלת משטר האייתולות? והאם יעד זה בכלל ריאלי?

רוצה לקרוא עוד?

להמשך קריאה הירשמו או התחברו

צמצום הכנסות המט"ח יגרום להיחלשות המטבע שיגרום לשורה של בעיות כלכליות

צמצום הכנסות המט"ח יגרום להיחלשות המטבע שיגרום לשורה של בעיות כלכליות | אילוסטרציה: מגזין אפוק

בזכות האמון שהפגין נחשון בן עמינדב במשה ובאלוהים, הים נבקע ובני ישראל יצאו לחירות. לולא אותו רגע של אמונה, ייתכן שגורלנו היה שונה

המגפה החברתית השקטה של זמננו | דעה

ד"ר משה רט

מה שבאמת דחף את נמסיס להשלים את השינוי ולהפוך לגיבור היה אמונתו התמימה של סם בכך שהוא כזה מלכתחילה

אפקט פיגמליון וגיבורי-על: כשאמונה יוצרת גבורה

ד"ר משה רט

מחנה פליטים בג׳באליה

הצעד הראשון ליישום תוכנית ההגירה של טראמפ | דעה

יוני בן מנחם

אילוסטרציה: מגזין אפוק

אף אחד אחר לא אחראי על המעשים שלנו | דעה

ד"ר משה רט

צילום: Shutterstock

איום בגובה נמוך: מי עומד מאחורי הרחפנים הבלתי מזוהים מעל הבסיסים האמריקניים בארה"ב ובאירופה?

אורן שלום

אילוסטרציה: מגזין אפוק

לשפשף את העיניים: מצרים עורכת שינויים בספרי הלימוד כדי להסיר תוכן אנטישמי

מאיה מזרחי

הירשמו לניוזלטר שלנו וקבלו תוכן חדש למייל מדי חודש

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