הקיום שלנו היום בישראל אינו מובן מאליו, טובי המומחים יתקשו להסביר זאת

ד"ר משה רט | 8 באוגוסט 2024 | מחשבות | 3 דק׳

קבלת החלטות קשות בערפל של אי ודאות

תרחיש אפשרי: בתאריך ה' באייר תש"ח, בן גוריון מכריז על הקמת מדינה יהודית בארץ ישראל, היא מדינת ישראל. יום למחרת, פולשים צבאות מדינות ערב לארץ ישראל, מביסים את צה"ל (השקוע במלחמת אחים מול האצ"ל), כובשים את הארץ וטובחים או מגרשים את רוב היהודים.

מאמצי העלייה, ההתיישבות וההישגים הדיפלומטיים של מאה השנים הקודמות, שהושגו בדם ויזע, נמחקים בִּן רגע. להמוני פליטי השואה באירופה אין לאן ללכת, והם נרצחים או מתבוללים בהמוניהם. המזרח התיכון נשאר כולו ערבי-מוסלמי. באין תקווה לאומית או גאולה באופק, החילונים מתנתקים לחלוטין מהיהדות, והדתיים סופגים מכה אמונית קשה ורובם מאבדים את אמונתם. כל מה שנותר מעם ישראל הוא כמה קהילות דלילות פזורות ברחבי העולם, שמתפרסמות בעיקר בכתבות של נשיונל ג'יאוגרפיק על קבוצות אתניות אזוטריות.

נשמע דמיוני? כל זה היה בגדר אפשרות ריאלית לחלוטין. לכולם היה ברור שצבאות ערב אכן יתקפו אם יכריזו היהודים על הקמת המדינה, ושהסיכויים לנצח במלחמה מולם אינם גבוהים. לפי בן גוריון, מומחי הביטחון ראו בכך סיכוי של 50-50 אחוז. נשיא ארה"ב לחץ בתוקף על ההנהגה להימנע מלהכריז על המדינה, וגם בקרב ראשי הציבור התנגדו לכך רבים.

רוצה לקרוא עוד?

להמשך קריאה הירשמו או התחברו

צילום: Shutterstock

צילום: Shutterstock

מה שבאמת דחף את נמסיס להשלים את השינוי ולהפוך לגיבור היה אמונתו התמימה של סם בכך שהוא כזה מלכתחילה

אפקט פיגמליון וגיבורי-על: כשאמונה יוצרת גבורה

ד"ר משה רט

מחנה פליטים בג׳באליה

הצעד הראשון ליישום תוכנית ההגירה של טראמפ | דעה

יוני בן מנחם

אילוסטרציה: מגזין אפוק

אף אחד אחר לא אחראי על המעשים שלנו | דעה

ד"ר משה רט

צילום: Shutterstock

איום בגובה נמוך: מי עומד מאחורי הרחפנים הבלתי מזוהים מעל הבסיסים האמריקניים בארה"ב ובאירופה?

אורן שלום

צמצום הכנסות המט"ח יגרום להיחלשות המטבע שיגרום לשורה של בעיות כלכליות

כיצד אמור להתמוטט המשטר האיראני? | פרשנות

איל לוינטר

אילוסטרציה: מגזין אפוק

לשפשף את העיניים: מצרים עורכת שינויים בספרי הלימוד כדי להסיר תוכן אנטישמי

מאיה מזרחי

הירשמו לניוזלטר שלנו וקבלו תוכן חדש למייל מדי חודש

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