איראן מתקדמת בהכנות להתקפה על ישראל. על פי העיתון הלבנוני אל-אח'באר היא פתחה בטהרן חדר מלחמה משותף ל"משמרות המהפכה" והשלוחות שלה במזרח התיכון

יוני בן מנחם | 4 באוגוסט 2024 | גיאו-פוליטיקה | 2 דק׳

פרשנות: טקטיקת ההשהיה של איראן משרתת את האסטרטגיה להתיש את ישראל

מבחינה מוסלמית הלכתית, איראן וחיזבאללה יכולים לנקום את מותם של פואד שוכר, רמטכ"ל חיזבאללה, ושל מנהיג חמאס אסמעיל הנייה. שלושת ימי האבל חלפו, והשניים נקברו עמוק באדמה. אבל בהחלט אפשרי שאיראן מעדיפה למשוך זמן, כדי שישראל תמרוט את עצביה בהמתנה למתקפת הנקם.

טקטיקת ההשהיה הזו נצפתה מראש על ידי ישראל, והיא חלק מאסטרטגיית ההתשה שאיראן מפעילה נגד ישראל – לא רק התשה צבאית משבע חזיתות במקביל, אלא גם התשה כלכלית ופסיכולוגית של ישראל, להאריך את המלחמה נגדה כמה שיותר זמן כדי להחלישה.

בינתיים, איראן אינה נפגעת ממלחמת ההתשה הזו, ומקריבה למען השגת המטרה את הפלסטינים ואת השיעים בשלוחות השונות במזרח התיכון. האיראנים מנצלים את הזמן להשלים את ההכנות להתקפה על ישראל.

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