למיטוט שלטון חמאס ברצועת עזה עשויה להיות השלכה חיובית על הביטחון והיציבות של הממלכה ההאשמית

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המודיעין הירדני עוקב מקרוב אחרי ההתפתחויות בחזית רצועת עזה והאפשרות שישראל תכבוש בסופו של דבר את אזור רפיח. פעולה כזו שוב תגביר את המתיחות הפנימית בתוך ירדן, ואת הניסיון של חמאס, בשיתוף עם איראן, להתסיס את הרחוב הירדני נגד שלטונו של המלך.

גורמי ביטחון בישראל אומרים כי מה שמדאיג יותר את המלך הירדני הוא שישראל לא תשלים את המלאכה, ולא תמוטט בסופו של דבר את שלטון חמאס ברצועה. אי השגת המטרה הזו, שנקבעה על ידי הקבינט הביטחוני בישראל כאחת ממטרות המלחמה, היא הרת אסון לישראל בכל כל מה שקשור להרתעה שלה במזרח התיכון; אבל על פי גורמי הביטחון, היא הרת אסון גם כלפי ירדן.

לתנועת חמאס יש אחיזה חזקה בתוך ירדן, שרוב תושביה הם פלסטינים, כ-70 אחוזים במספר, וגם השפעה אינטנסיבית על הלכי הרוח ברחוב. היא פועלת מאז תחילת המלחמה, בגלוי, ביחד עם תנועת "האחים המוסלמים" ובשיתוף עם איראן, לערער את יציבות המשטר הירדני כדי להפילו.

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להמשך קריאה הירשמו או התחברו

Jordan's King Abdullah II stands during the signing of agreements between Spain and Jordan at La Moncloa palace in Madrid on June 19, 2023. (Photo by JAVIER SORIANO / AFP) (Photo by JAVIER SORIANO/AFP via Getty Images)

עבדאללה מלך ירדן, 19 ביוני 2023 | צילום: JAVIER SORIANO/AFP via Getty Images

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