היכולת לחזות את עתיד התרבות העכשווית שלנו הייתה שמורה פעם רק לנביאים. אולם כיום מגוון היסטוריונים ומדענים מנסים לגלות מה גרם לקריסתן של תרבויות העבר, והאם גם החברה שלנו מתקדמת לעבר אחת כזו

רקפת תבור | 14 באוגוסט 2014 | כתבה חצויה | 2 דק׳

הקריסה שעוד לא הייתה

היסטוריונים רבים מצביעים על דפוס חוזר בהיסטוריה האנושית: תרבויות עולות, מתפתחות לרמת מורכבות מרשימה, אך בסופו של דבר שוקעות, כשבמקרים רבים השקיעה דומה יותר לקריסה פתאומית. מטרת ההיסטוריונים, בין היתר, היא ללמוד מה גרם לקריסה בעבר כדי לנבא את העתיד לבוא.

לא רק היסטוריונים עוסקים במחקר מסוג זה. בשנים האחרונות החלו לעסוק בזה גם מדענים ממגוון תחומים. הם מפתחים משוואות מתמטיות שמנתחות את התהליכים ההיסטוריים שהובילו לקריסתן של תרבויות, ומתוכן מפתחים מודלים מתמטיים שמנסים לנבא מתי אותה תבנית תופיע גם בתרבות המערבית שלנו ותגרום לקריסתה.

רוצה לקרוא עוד?

להמשך קריאה הירשמו או התחברו

ערי המאיה ננטשו לפתע במאה ה-9 לספירה. תמונה: fotolia.com

ערי המאיה ננטשו לפתע במאה ה-9 לספירה. תמונה: fotolia.com

הירשמו לניוזלטר שלנו וקבלו תוכן חדש למייל מדי חודש

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