במערכת הביטחון מעריכים כי ח'מינאי הורה להאיץ את תוכנית הגרעין של איראן, וכי נפילת משטרו של אסד נותנת משנה תוקף להוראה הזו. ההנהגה האיראנית רואה בייצור נשק גרעיני מהלך הכרחי כדי לשמור על שרידות המשטר נוכח מצבו הקשה של ציר ההתנגדות

יוני בן מנחם | 9 בדצמבר 2024 | חדשות | 3 דק׳

הערכה בישראל: נפילת משטר אסד תאיץ את המרוץ של איראן לפצצה גרעינית

נפילת משטרו של נשיא סוריה בשאר אסד הינה מכה קשה למשטר האיראני, שאיבד פלטפורמה צבאית חשובה לתקוף ממנה את ישראל, ושדרכה הוא העביר באופן אינטנסיבי משלוחי נשק מתקדם לחיזבאללה בלבנון, וכך בנה את מפלצת הטרור שאיימה על ישראל מאז תום מלחמת לבנון השנייה בשנת 2006. זוהי ההערכה במערכת הביטחון.

איראן איבדה את טבעת ההגנה שהייתה אמורה להגן על אתרי הגרעין שלה מפני תקיפה ישראלית או אמריקנית באמצעות חיזבאללה בלבנון והמיליציות השיעיות בסוריה. היא לא תוכל יותר להעביר משלוחי נשק מתקדם דרך שטח סוריה לחיזבאללה בלבנון.

זאת ועוד, מחכה לה צרה גדולה נוספת: על פי הערכה במערכת הביטחון, נשיא ארה"ב הנבחר דונלד טראמפ יטיל עליה סנקציות משתקות מיד עם כניסתו לבית הלבן ב-20 בינואר. "ברגע שהצרות באות, הן באות בצרורות, כולן בבת אחת", אומר גורם ביטחוני בכיר.

רוצה לקרוא עוד?

להמשך קריאה הירשמו או התחברו

המנהיג העליון של איראן עלי ח'מינאי, 5 ביולי 2024

המנהיג העליון של איראן עלי ח'מינאי, 5 ביולי 2024 | צילום: Majid Saeedi/Getty Images

נשיא סין, שי ג'ינפינג

סין העלתה את המכס על סחורות אמריקניות ל-125%

דורון פסקין

מכלית נפט פורקת בנמל צ'ינגדאו שבמחוז שאנדונג במזרח סין

סין הגדילה את ייבוא הנפט מאיראן ב-80% – פעולה שמערערת את מדיניות "הלחץ המקסימלי" האמריקנית

צוות מגזין אפוק

צה"ל מגביר את הלחץ הצבאי; כ-30% משטח הרצועה נכבש

יוני בן מנחם

נשיא ארה"ב דונלד טראמפ

הבית הלבן מבהיר: שיעור המכס על סין הוא 145% ולא 125%

צוות מגזין אפוק

משטרת ישראל

נחשפה תשתית להעברת כספי טרור מטורקיה לאיו"ש באמצעות אזרחים ישראלים

קרן זריהן

מחבלים בכניסה לרעים, 7 באוקטובר 2023

תחקיר הקרב בקיבוץ רעים – כיתת הכוננות לחמה לבדה במשך שעות ומנעה מסע רצח מסיבי

אורן שלום

הירשמו לניוזלטר שלנו וקבלו תוכן חדש למייל מדי חודש

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