לפי הדוח השנתי האחרון של סוכנות האנרגיה הבין-לאומית, לקראת סוף העשור תחל ירידה בביקוש לנפט. סימון הנדרסון, מנהל תוכנית ברנשטיין בנושא מדינות המפרץ ואנרגיה במכון וושינגטון, מסביר במאמר שפרסם על המשמעויות וההשלכות האפשריות

דורון פסקין | 19 ביוני 2024 | חדשות | 3 דק׳

סוכנות האנרגיה הבין-לאומית צופה עודף היצע של נפט החל משנת 2030 – מהן המשמעויות?

ב-12 ביוני פרסמה סוכנות האנרגיה הבין-לאומית (IEA), שמקום מושבה בפריז, את הדוח השנתי שלה. לפי הדוח, הביקוש הכולל לנפט צפוי להגיע לשיא בסביבות 2029, ואילו בשנת 2030 תתחיל מגמה הפוכה, בד בבד עם הגדלת התפוקה מצד ארה"ב ויצרנים אחרים שאינם חברים באופ"ק (ארגון המדינות המייצאות נפט).

מהדוח עולה כי הירידה הצפויה בביקוש לנפט תהיה תוצאה של מעבר לרכבים חשמליים ורכבים המונעים בגז, וכן הגברת ההסתמכות על מקורות אנרגיה מתחדשים לייצור חשמל.

נכון להיום, הביקוש העולמי לנפט מגיע לכ-102 מיליון חביות ביום, והוא צפוי לעלות ל-106 מיליון חביות ביום בסוף העשור. לעומת זאת, כושר הפקת הנפט צפוי להגיע לכ-114 מיליון חביות ביום ב-2030, כלומר 8 מיליון חביות ביום מעל הביקוש הצפוי – כמות אותה תיאר IEA כ"מטלטלת".

רוצה לקרוא עוד?

להמשך קריאה הירשמו או התחברו

צילום: AFP via Getty Images

מפעלי ייצור נפט בסעודיה, 22 במרץ 2006 | צילום: AFP via Getty Images

תיעוד מהמתקפה באוקראינה

מתקפה קטלנית באוקראינה. זלנסקי: רוסיה אינה מעוניינת בהפסקת אש

דורון פסקין

מזכיר המדינה של ארה״ב, מרקו רוביו

רוביו: השווקים מגיבים לשינוי דרמטי בסדר העולמי; נדע בקרוב אם פוטין מושך זמן – טראמפ לא ייפול למלכודת

צוות מגזין אפוק

כוחות צה"ל בסמוך לגבול עם רצועת עזה

חמאס בלוחמה פסיכולוגית – צה"ל פועל באזורים בהם מוחזקים החטופים; גורמים בכירים: זה שקר

יוני בן מנחם

צילום: Mark Ralston/AFP via Getty Images

מלחמת הסחר: סין מכה בחזרה – מטילה מכסים נוספים בשיעור 34% על ארה"ב

צוות מגזין אפוק

יונתן אוריך ואלי פלדשטיין

פרשת המעורבות הקטארית – פלדשטיין שוחרר למעצר בית, אוריך יישאר במעצר עד יום שני

אורן שלום

המפלגה הקומוניסטית הסינית פורסת את DeepSeek ברחבי ממשלים מקומיים

צוות מגזין אפוק

הירשמו לניוזלטר שלנו וקבלו תוכן חדש למייל מדי חודש

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