גורמי ביטחון טוענים כי מהלך כזה עלול לפגוע קשה במעמדה של מצרים, והיא תיחשב בעולם למדינה תומכת טרור

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המצוד של צה"ל והשב"כ אחרי יחיא סינוואר והצמרת הצבאית של חמאס נמשך במנהרות ח'אן יונס, ולהערכת גורמי ביטחון ישראליים, בסופו של דבר ישראל תצליח לעצור את ההנהגה הצבאית או לחסל אותה.

גורמי ביטחון ישראלים למדו היטב את מבוך המנהרות האדיר באזור ח'אן יונס ורפיח מתוך כּונני המחשבים של הזרוע הצבאית של חמאס, שנתפסו בארבע המנהרות האסטרטגיות שבהן שהה יחיא סינוואר מאז תחילת המלחמה.

גורמי הביטחון מעריכים ברמת ודאות גבוהה כי מצרים לא תאפשר ליחיא סינוואר ולהנהגה הצבאית של חמאס לעבור לשטח מצרים דרך המנהרות באזור רפיח ולמצוא מקלט בחצי האי סיני. לדבריהם, מהלך כזה עלול לפגוע קשה במעמדה של מצרים, והיא תיחשב בעולם למדינה תומכת טרור, מכיוון שיחיא סינוואר הוא האדריכל של הטבח הנורא ביישובי עוטף עזה, והוא נחשב לאיש שגרר את ישראל בעל כורחה למלחמה בכמה חזיתות. המקסימום שיוכל סינוואר לעשות הוא להימלט מהמנהרות באזור ח'אן יונס למנהרות באזור רפיח, אבל שם יסתיים נתיב בריחתו. הוא במרוץ נגד הזמן.

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