טורקיה היא המרוויחה הגדולה מנפילת משטרו של אסד, והיא כבר החלה בהידוק הקשרים עם המשטר החדש של אלג'ולאני. שר החוץ הטורקי הקאן פידאן אומר כי לסוריה יש "מטרה אסטרטגית", והיא לחסל את המיליציה הכורדית בסוריה

יוני בן מנחם | 15 בדצמבר 2024 | גיאו-פוליטיקה | 4 דק׳

התפקיד הטורקי במשטר החדש בסוריה | פרשנות

להערכת המודיעין הישראלי, איראן היא המפסידה הגדולה מנפילת משטרו של בשאר אסד בסוריה, ואילו טורקיה היא המרוויחה הגדולה. כך אומרים גורמי ביטחון בכירים.

גם המודיעין האמריקני מחזיק בהערכה הזו. זוהי הסיבה לכך שמדינות רבות שיש להן אינטרסים בסוריה הגבירו בימים האחרונים את המגעים הדיפלומטיים עם אנקרה, כדי לדון בגורלה של סוריה תחת המשטר החדש, לנוכח התפקיד המכריע שהיה לטורקיה בתמיכה במורדים הג'יהאדיסטים והפלת משטרו של אסד.

גורמים מדיניים בירושלים אומרים כי טורקיה ממקמת את עצמה עכשיו כשחקן מרכזי בעיצוב עתידה של סוריה. המהלכים הטורקיים כוללים חידוש קשרים דיפלומטיים אחרי נתק של יותר מעשור, ביקור בכירים טורקיים בדמשק ושאיפה טורקית להוביל את תהליך השיקום של סוריה, כדי שתהיה לה השפעה גדולה יותר על עיצוב מדיניותה במזרח התיכון.

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