נפילת משטרו של אסד סגרה את נתיבי ההברחות היבשתיים לחיזבאללה, ומעמידה כעת את הארגון בפני אתגר חסר תקדים בשיקום כוחו. מה יעשה הארגון השיעי?

יוני בן מנחם | 11 בדצמבר 2024 | גיאו-פוליטיקה | 2 דק׳

קריסת משטר אסד מסבכת את שיקום הכוח הצבאי של חיזבאללה | פרשנות

ארגון חיזבאללה בלבנון מנסה להתאושש מהמכות הקשות שחטף מצה"ל במהלך המלחמה, אולם הוא צפוי להיתקל בקשיים גדולים בשיקום כוחו הצבאי לנוכח נפילת משטרו של בשאר אסד בסוריה.

ישראל מפקחת על נתיבי הברחות הנשק מאיראן ללבנון דרך האוויר והים, והנתיב היבשתי של הנשק, דרך שטח סוריה, נמצא כעת בשליטת המורדים הג'יהאדיסטים שהשתלטו על המדינה.

חיזבאללה תכנן להתחמש מחדש באמצעות איראן, לאחר שעל פי הערכות כ-70% עד 80% מארסנל הנשק שלו הושמדו על ידי צה"ל. אבל התקפת הפתע של המורדים בסוריה ונפילת אסד מהשלטון פגעו קשה בתוכניות שלו. הוא לא יוכל לחזור על מה שעשה אחרי מלחמת לבנון השנייה בשנת 2006, כאשר הצליח לבנות בעזרת איראן כוח צבאי אדיר של כ-150 אלף רקטות וטילים.

רוצה לקרוא עוד?

להמשך קריאה הירשמו או התחברו

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מחלוקות פנימיות, חולשה צבאית ולחץ להתפרק מנשק – לאן פניו של חיזבאללה? | פרשנות

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בירושלים מעריכים: צפוי משא ומתן מאתגר; ספק רב אם איראן תסכים לפירוק פרויקט הגרעין | פרשנות

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נשיא ארה"ב דונלד טראמפ והמנהיג העליון של איראן עלי ח'מינאי

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מזכיר המדינה פיט הגסת' לצד נשיא ארה"ב דונלד טראמפ במהלך ישיבת קבינט בבית הלבן, 26 בפברואר 2025

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הירשמו לניוזלטר שלנו וקבלו תוכן חדש למייל מדי חודש

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