משטרו של אסד נפל בתוך פחות משבועיים מאז מתקפת הפתע של המורדים. היו לכך מספר גורמים

יוני בן מנחם | 9 בדצמבר 2024 | גיאו-פוליטיקה | 3 דק׳

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הארגונים הג'יהאדיסטים בסוריה הצליחו להפיל את משטרו של נשיא סוריה בשאר אסד בתוך פחות משבועיים, באמצעות מתקפת פתע שהחלה ב-27 בנובמבר, במהלכה השתלטו על הערים הגדולות בסוריה והגיעו עד לבירה דמשק.

גורמים ביטחוניים בישראל אומרים כי הסיבה העיקרית לנפילת המשטר הסורי היא היחלשותו של המשטר והיעדר סיוע לאסד מצד רוסיה, איראן והקהילה הבין-לאומית. לדבריהם, גורם נוסף הוא ההצלחה של המנהיג הראשי של המרד, אבו מוחמד אלג'ולאני, לרכז סביבו חלק גדול מקבוצות המורדים ולבנות מוסדות שינהלו את האזורים שנכבשו בסוריה.

אותם גורמים מציינים כי לכך יש לצרף סיבות נוספות, כמו העובדה שהצבא הסורי היה מותש והמורל שלו היה ירוד בגלל מלחמת האזרחים שנמשכה 13 שנה, במהלכה נהרגו כחצי מיליון סורים ונהרסו הכלכלה והתשתיות של המדינה. במהלך מלחמת האזרחים איבד הצבא הסורי כ-300 אלף חיילים, שהיוו כמחצית מכוחו. חיילים רבים אחרים ערקו מהשירות הצבאי וברחו ממנו.

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תמונה של בשאר אסד מנופצת לרסיסים

תמונה של בשאר אסד מנופצת לרסיסים | צילום: OMAR HAJ KADOUR/AFP via Getty Images

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