מותו של ראיסי פתח קרב ירושה בצמרת האיראנית. על פי דיווחים באיראן, כוחות "משמרות המהפכה" בוחשים מאחורי הקלעים כדי להגביר את השפעתם הפוליטית

יוני בן מנחם | 21 במאי 2024 | גיאו-פוליטיקה | 3 דק׳

פרשנות: מי ירוויח ממותו של נשיא איראן?

לישראל ככל הנראה לא היה שום קשר לתאונת המסוק שבה נהרגו נשיא איראן אבראהים ראיסי ושר החוץ חוסיין אמיר עבד אל-להאיאן. למרות זאת, ברשתות החברתיות יש הרבה פייק ניוז כי המוסד הישראלי עמד מאחורי התרסקות המסוק האיראני.

תאונת המסוק נגרמה כתוצאה ממזג אוויר קשה באזור הררי, אבל חרושת השמועות כבר החלה כי מדובר ב"התנקשות מתוכננת מראש". יש באיראן הסבורים כי ישראל חיבלה במסוק כנקמה על התקפת מאות הטילים הבליסטיים והכטב"מים האיראנית עליה ב-14 באפריל. המסוק התרסק סמוך לגבול עם אזרבייג'ן, שהינה מדינה ידידותית מאוד לישראל, ויש בה, על פי פרסומים זרים, בסיס של המוסד הישראלי.

מי שירוויח ללא ספק ממותו של הנשיא ראיסי הינו מוג'תבא חא'מיני בן ה-54, בנו של המנהיג העליון עלי ח'מינאי בן ה-88, שאביו מטפחו כדי להפוך אותו ליורשו. ראיסי התחרה מולו על תפקיד היורש המיועד בבוא היום לתפקיד המנהיג העליון. כעת, התחרות והמרוץ על התפקיד הצטמצמו מאוד לנוכח מותו של הנשיא אבראהים ראיסי.

רוצה לקרוא עוד?

להמשך קריאה הירשמו או התחברו

המנהיג העליון של איראן, עלי ח'מינאי, 10 במאי 2024 | צילום: ATTA KENARE/AFP via Getty Images

המנהיג העליון של איראן, עלי ח'מינאי, 10 במאי 2024 | צילום: ATTA KENARE/AFP via Getty Images

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מחלוקות פנימיות, חולשה צבאית ולחץ להתפרק מנשק – לאן פניו של חיזבאללה? | פרשנות

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בירושלים מעריכים: צפוי משא ומתן מאתגר; ספק רב אם איראן תסכים לפירוק פרויקט הגרעין | פרשנות

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מזכיר המדינה פיט הגסת' לצד נשיא ארה"ב דונלד טראמפ במהלך ישיבת קבינט בבית הלבן, 26 בפברואר 2025

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יוני בן מנחם

הירשמו לניוזלטר שלנו וקבלו תוכן חדש למייל מדי חודש

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