ככל שהזמן חולף ואוקראינה אינה מצליחה לכבוש בחזרה את השטחים שהפסידה, הדבר משרת את רוסיה בכמה היבטים קריטיים

איל לוינטר | 7 בינואר 2024 | גיאו-פוליטיקה | 2 דק׳

פרשנות: אם המערב לא יגדיל משמעותית את אספקת מערכות הנשק לקייב, מוסקבה עשויה לנצח במלחמה

רקע

באמצע דצמבר ערך נשיא רוסיה, ולדימיר פוטין, מסיבת עיתונאים לרגל סוף השנה, בה הבהיר כי המלחמה מתקדמת במסלול נכון.

מבחינת פוטין המלחמה תסתיים רק כאשר רוסיה תשיג את כל מטרותיה, הכוללות ''דה-נאציפיקציה'' של אוקראינה, פירוז אוקראינה מנשק, וגם כאשר קייב תקבל את המציאות הטריטוריאלית החדשה, כלומר את העובדה שרוסיה סיפחה ממנה שטחים. פוטין אמר גם שאודסה, עיר הנמל האוקראינית שלחוף הים השחור בדרום המדינה, היא עיר רוסית – דבר הרומז אולי על כיבוש טריטוריאלי נוסף בהמשך.

פוטין דיבר גם על כלכלת רוסיה שחזרה לצמוח ב-2023 ולדבריו תמשיך לצמוח בשנים הבאות. מה שבעיקר מעניין אותו בהיבט הכלכלי הוא יכולתה של רוסיה להמשיך לממן את המלחמה. אף על פי שרוסיה סובלת, ותמשיך לסבול, בטווח הארוך ממחסור בכוח אדם ומגירעון גדל, נראה כי לא תהיה לה בעיה לממן את מאמצי המלחמה שלה בשנתיים הקרובות.

רוצה לקרוא עוד?

להמשך קריאה הירשמו או התחברו

צילום: Alexander Nemenov/AFP

צילום: Alexander Nemenov/AFP

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