רקע מספר ה"תרגילים הצבאיים" שמבצעת סין באזורים הימיים והאוויריים המקיפים את טייוואן מלמד כי בייג'ינג הפכה…

איל לוינטר | 8 באוקטובר 2023 | גיאו-פוליטיקה | 1 דק׳

פרשנות: הבחירות לנשיאות טייוואן יאלצו את המשטר הסיני להחליט אם הוא עוצר זמנית את האיומים הצבאיים על האי

רקע

מספר ה"תרגילים הצבאיים" שמבצעת סין באזורים הימיים והאוויריים המקיפים את טייוואן מלמד כי בייג'ינג הפכה אותם לכלי ההשפעה העיקרי נגד האי. נכון למועד כתיבת שורות אלה, האיום האחרון על האי התרחש ב-18 בספטמבר, כאשר 103 מטוסים ותשע ספינות של צבא סין נכנסו למרחב הבין-לאומי שמסביב לטייוואן.

עם זאת, עד היום לא נכנסו מטוסים או כלי שיט סיניים לתוך המים הטריטוריאליים או לתוך המרחב האווירי של טייוואן, שגבולות הגזרה שלו נמצאים במרחק של כ-22 ק"מ מהאי, כפי שקבע משרד ההגנה של טייוואן. שר ההגנה של טייוואן, ג'יוּ קוּאוֹ-גֶ'נְג, אמר באוקטובר 2022 כי מדינתו תתקיף כל מטוס או כלי שיט סיני שיחצה קו זה.

מה צפוי בהמשך

כל עוד "הפלישות הסיניות" לא חוצות את קו הגבול הזה, הן מהוות איום צבאי נוח על טייוואן – סין מראה את העליונות הצבאית ואת כוח ההרתעה הפוטנציאלי שלה כלפי טייוואן, מבלי לגרום לטייוואן להגיב ומבלי להיכנס לקונפליקט אמיתי.

רוצה לקרוא עוד?

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הירשמו לניוזלטר שלנו וקבלו תוכן חדש למייל מדי חודש

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