לפי הדוח השנתי האחרון של סוכנות האנרגיה הבין-לאומית, לקראת סוף העשור תחל ירידה בביקוש לנפט. סימון הנדרסון, מנהל תוכנית ברנשטיין בנושא מדינות המפרץ ואנרגיה במכון וושינגטון, מסביר במאמר שפרסם על המשמעויות וההשלכות האפשריות

דורון פסקין | 19 ביוני 2024 | חדשות | 3 דק׳

סוכנות האנרגיה הבין-לאומית צופה עודף היצע של נפט החל משנת 2030 – מהן המשמעויות?

ב-12 ביוני פרסמה סוכנות האנרגיה הבין-לאומית (IEA), שמקום מושבה בפריז, את הדוח השנתי שלה. לפי הדוח, הביקוש הכולל לנפט צפוי להגיע לשיא בסביבות 2029, ואילו בשנת 2030 תתחיל מגמה הפוכה, בד בבד עם הגדלת התפוקה מצד ארה"ב ויצרנים אחרים שאינם חברים באופ"ק (ארגון המדינות המייצאות נפט).

מהדוח עולה כי הירידה הצפויה בביקוש לנפט תהיה תוצאה של מעבר לרכבים חשמליים ורכבים המונעים בגז, וכן הגברת ההסתמכות על מקורות אנרגיה מתחדשים לייצור חשמל.

נכון להיום, הביקוש העולמי לנפט מגיע לכ-102 מיליון חביות ביום, והוא צפוי לעלות ל-106 מיליון חביות ביום בסוף העשור. לעומת זאת, כושר הפקת הנפט צפוי להגיע לכ-114 מיליון חביות ביום ב-2030, כלומר 8 מיליון חביות ביום מעל הביקוש הצפוי – כמות אותה תיאר IEA כ"מטלטלת".

רוצה לקרוא עוד?

להמשך קריאה הירשמו או התחברו

צילום: AFP via Getty Images

מפעלי ייצור נפט בסעודיה, 22 במרץ 2006 | צילום: AFP via Getty Images

כלי נשק שנמצאו אצל חברי החוליה לאחר מעצרם

סוכלה חוליית טרור שפעלה בהכוונת חמאס מטורקיה

קרן זריהן

מנהיגת הימין העמוק מרין לה פן בבית המשפט, 31 במרץ 2025

מנהיגת הימין בצרפת מארין לה פן נידונה לשנתיים מאסר בפועל והרחקה מהחיים הפוליטיים

דורון פסקין

המופתי השיעי הבכיר השייח' אחמד קבלאן

המופתי השיעי הבכיר בלבנון קורא לחיזבאללה שלא להתפרק מנשקו

יוני בן מנחם

המנהיג העליון של איראן, עלי ח'מינאי

ח'מינאי: אם ארה"ב וישראל יתקפו הן יקבלו תגובה חזקה

דורון פסקין

כוחות צה"ל בדרך לרפיח, 29 במאי 2024

צה"ל מפנה את רפיח לקראת המשך הלחימה

צוות מגזין אפוק

האלוף אלי שרביט

ראש הממשלה החליט למנות את אלוף במילואים אלי שרביט לראש השב"כ הבא

צוות מגזין אפוק

הירשמו לניוזלטר שלנו וקבלו תוכן חדש למייל מדי חודש

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