למרות המכות שסופג חיזבאללה בזירה הצבאית, גורמי מודיעין מעריכים כי נסראללה ימשיך לדבוק במדיניות ההסלמה – מחשש להצטייר בעיני ארגונו ובעיני העולם הערבי כמי שנכנע לישראל

יוני בן מנחם | 25 בספטמבר 2024 | גיאו-פוליטיקה | 3 דק׳

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מזכ"ל חיזבאללה חסן נסראללה חזר בנאומו האחרון על המשוואה שקבע בתחילת המלחמה, כי לא תהיה שום הפסקת ירי רקטות וכטב"מים לעבר ישראל עד שלא תהיה הפסקת אש ברצועת עזה.

הוא גם הזהיר את ישראל כי לא יאפשר את החזרת עשרות אלפי המפונים הישראלים לבתיהם בגבול הצפון. במילים אחרות, הוא נחוש להמשיך את מלחמת ההתשה נגד ישראל, על פי הדוקטרינה האיראנית, על חשבון אזרחי לבנון.

נסראללה אימץ את האסטרטגיה האיראנית של "איחוד הזירות" מול ישראל. מטרתה של איראן היא להפעיל באמצעות שלוחותיה לחץ צבאי על ישראל מכל החזיתות, כדי לאלץ אותה לעצור את המלחמה ברצועת עזה ולהשאיר את שלטון חמאס על כנו.

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