לפי הדוח השנתי האחרון של סוכנות האנרגיה הבין-לאומית, לקראת סוף העשור תחל ירידה בביקוש לנפט. סימון הנדרסון, מנהל תוכנית ברנשטיין בנושא מדינות המפרץ ואנרגיה במכון וושינגטון, מסביר במאמר שפרסם על המשמעויות וההשלכות האפשריות

דורון פסקין | 19 ביוני 2024 | חדשות | 3 דק׳

סוכנות האנרגיה הבין-לאומית צופה עודף היצע של נפט החל משנת 2030 – מהן המשמעויות?

ב-12 ביוני פרסמה סוכנות האנרגיה הבין-לאומית (IEA), שמקום מושבה בפריז, את הדוח השנתי שלה. לפי הדוח, הביקוש הכולל לנפט צפוי להגיע לשיא בסביבות 2029, ואילו בשנת 2030 תתחיל מגמה הפוכה, בד בבד עם הגדלת התפוקה מצד ארה"ב ויצרנים אחרים שאינם חברים באופ"ק (ארגון המדינות המייצאות נפט).

מהדוח עולה כי הירידה הצפויה בביקוש לנפט תהיה תוצאה של מעבר לרכבים חשמליים ורכבים המונעים בגז, וכן הגברת ההסתמכות על מקורות אנרגיה מתחדשים לייצור חשמל.

נכון להיום, הביקוש העולמי לנפט מגיע לכ-102 מיליון חביות ביום, והוא צפוי לעלות ל-106 מיליון חביות ביום בסוף העשור. לעומת זאת, כושר הפקת הנפט צפוי להגיע לכ-114 מיליון חביות ביום ב-2030, כלומר 8 מיליון חביות ביום מעל הביקוש הצפוי – כמות אותה תיאר IEA כ"מטלטלת".

רוצה לקרוא עוד?

להמשך קריאה הירשמו או התחברו

צילום: AFP via Getty Images

מפעלי ייצור נפט בסעודיה, 22 במרץ 2006 | צילום: AFP via Getty Images

צילום: Mark Ralston/AFP via Getty Images

מלחמת הסחר: סין מכה בחזרה – מטילה מכסים נוספים בשיעור 34% על ארה"ב

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יונתן אוריך ואלי פלדשטיין

פרשת המעורבות הקטארית – בית המשפט החליט לשחרר את אוריך ופלדשטיין למעצר בית

אורן שלום

המפלגה הקומוניסטית הסינית פורסת את DeepSeek ברחבי ממשלים מקומיים

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נשיא סוריה, אבו מוחמד אלג'ולאני

אלג'ולאני פתח במסע יחסי ציבור של חירות דתית בסוריה

יוני בן מנחם

נשיא דרום קוריאה, יון סוק יאול

בית המשפט בקוריאה הדרומית אישר את הדחת הנשיא בעקבות הכרזתו על משטר צבאי במדינה

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הירשמו לניוזלטר שלנו וקבלו תוכן חדש למייל מדי חודש

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