סינוואר מתכנן לנצל הפסקה של כמה ימים בירי על כוחותיו כדי להגביר את הלחץ על ישראל שלא לחדש את הלחימה, ולנסות לפגוע בכוחות צה"ל שנמצאים במצב נייח בלב עזה. כך נהג במבצע "צוק איתן" ב-2014

יוני בן מנחם | 21 בנובמבר 2023 | גיאו-פוליטיקה | 4 דק׳

פרשנות: יחיא סינוואר זקוק להפסקת אש כדי לעצור את התנופה של מתקפת צה"ל

ברצועת עזה מעריכים גורמים הקשורים לחמאס כי העובדה שיחיא סינוואר, מנהיג חמאס ברצועת עזה, חידש את המגעים עם קטאר בנושא עסקת חילופי השבויים עם ישראל, אותם קטע בעקבות השתלטות צה"ל על בית החולים שיפא – מעידה על כך שהוא זקוק להפסקת אש, וכי כוחה של הזרוע הצבאית נחלש, או לפחות נסדק.

במקביל לכך, מנהיג חמאס אסמעיל הנייה פתח בקמפיין של שתדלנות אצל מנהיגים באזור, במטרה להפעיל לחץ על ישראל ולהשיג הפסקת אש. חמאס זקוק ל-5 ימים של הפסקת אש כדי לארגן את כוחותיו. כמה גדודים שלו בצפון הרצועה התפרקו כתוצאה מהתקפות צה"ל והוא רוצה לאחד מסגרות, להצטייד בדלק, במים ומזון.

יחיא סינוואר יודע כי כמעט כל מחבל שמעז להגיח מהמנהרות נמצא בסכנת הרג על ידי צה"ל. אולם הוא מרוצה מעצמו עד כה. המנהרות מוכיחות את יעילותן, לפי שעה.

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הירשמו לניוזלטר שלנו וקבלו תוכן חדש למייל מדי חודש

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